Week 7

Last Week SU: 5-2
Last Week ATS: 4-3
YTD SU: 23-8
YTD ATS: 17-14

Stanford at Notre Dame (-7)

Two teams that are a lot a like meet in the rain in South Bend with plenty at stake.  Stanford is a defense-first club that surprised preseason PAC12 darling USC but then turned around and lost at Washington a couple weeks later.  Pass offense is off the mark, sans Andrew Luck, so look for the Cardinal to really try to challenge the stout Irish D-Line on the ground.  We don't think they'll be able to do it consistently enough and we think ND has more weapons, offensively.

Notre Dame win probability: 69%
Notre Dame cover probability: 59%
IFP says Notre Dame 24 Stanford 13

Wisconsin at Purdue (-2)

Vegas bookies must know more than we know here.  Purdue was not only beaten like a drum last week at home vs. Michigan, we think they were wildly out-coached.  IFP isn't buying what Danny Hope is selling in West Lafayette.

Purdue win probability: 47%
Purdue cover probability: 39%
IFP says Wisconsin 27 Purdue 17

Illinois at Michigan (-24.5)

The misery continues for the Orange & Blue and their Skoal-dippin' head coach.  Apparently offensive and defensive efficiency aren't the only bad habits that that need to be broken in Champaign-Urbana.

Illinois win probability: 8%
Illinois cover probability: 52%
IFP says Michigan 40 Illinois 14

Northwestern at Minnesota

We have a bad feeling about the locals in this one as well.  2nd straight on the road for Purple Cats, and one the can win, but we have a feeling their "no amount of points are even enough" track record comes back to bit them today.  Upset in Minneapolis.

Northwestern win probability: 49%
Northwestern cover probability: 51%
IFP says Minnesota 28 Northwestern 27

Ohio State (-17.5) at Indiana

Hoosiers will score more than 20.  Problem is the Buckeyes may break 50.

Indiana win probability: 30%
Indiana cover probability: 48%
IFP says Ohio State 49 Indiana 24