Week 2

Last Week SU:  8-0
Last Week ATS:  4-4

Saturday September 8th

Purdue at Notre Dame (-14)

Irish 6-1 in last 7 vs. Boilers (5-2 ATS).  Purdue waxed Eastern Kentucky last weekend 48-6 but was pretty sloppy in doing so (5 turnovers).  Notre Dame was +3 in turnover margin and dominated Navy on the ground.  Irish home run hitters Riddick and Atkinson combined for 206 rushing yards, 7+ ypc, and 4 TDs vs. Navy.  ND offensive line might be the best in South Bend in the last 5 or 6 years.  Biggest game of the month on Purdue's schedule (MAC opponent on deck) whereas Irish must try to not look ahead to MSU and Michigan.  Notre Dame wins but doesn't cover the -14.

Notre Dame win probability:  83%
IFP says: Notre Dame 34 Purdue 21

Indiana (-14) at UMass

Hoosiers a road favorite for only the 6th time in the last dozen years.  Minutemen, who are moving up to FBS play this year, had 0 points, 3 first downs, and 59 total yards vs. UConn last weekend.  Indiana wins but doesn't cover.

Indiana win probability:  83%
IFP says:  Indiana 28 UMass 17

Michigan State (-20) at Central Michigan

Spartacus puts in the Notre Dame game plan and takes it on the road for a dress rehearsal vs. the Mt. Pleasant Chippewas.  New Spartan QB Maxwell has a cannon but needs work.  MSU defense good and maybe scary good.  Few hold Boise State w/o an offensive touchdown like Michigan State did last weekend in East Lansing.  Pretty cool that MSU agreed to travel for this one, but we don't see that helping CMU all that much.

Michigan State win probability:  92%
IFP says: Michigan State 38 Central Michigan 10

Vanderbilt (-3.5) at Northwestern

The Cats put on their well-worn "no amount of points are ever enough" shoes last weekend but hung on at Syracuse.  Wondering how well Vandy gets up off the deck from the nationally televised loss to South Carolina...and the bad whistles involved in that one.  Take the points.

Northwestern win probability:  41%
IFP says:  Northwestern 34 Vanderbilt 31

Illinois at Arizona State (-4)

Illini travel to the Valley of the Sun for the last game of the weekend (10:30 pm EST kickoff) and will likely be sans starting QB Nathan Scheelhaase.  Illini D better than Sun Devil D, but can a Riley O'Toole-led Illinois offense put up enough points to beat a PAC 12 team on the road?  We're not sure.  Leaning towards probably not.

Illinois win probability:  40%
IFP says:  Arizona State 24 Illinois 17