Week 3

Last Week SU:  5-0
Last Week ATS: 4-1
YTD SU: 13-0
YTD ATS: 8-5

Saturday September 14th

Notre Dame at Michigan State (-6)

Home team has won the last four.  Both teams come into this one ranked for the first time in a dozen years.  No TDs scored on Spartacus defense this year (5th nationally).  Purdue exposed some weakness at cornerback for the Irish last Saturday.  L'Eveon Bell has 280 yards rushing and 4 TDs in two games for State (note: ND totally shut down the Green and White running game a year ago --- something has to give).  We see a single digit outcome, for the 10th time in 13 years, but the Irish falling just short.

Notre Dame win probability:  41%
Notre Dame cover probability:  50%
IFP says:  Michigan State 20 Notre Dame 17

Ball State at Indiana (-3)

Muncie Cardinals have beaten the Hoosiers the last two years including last year's innaugural for IU HC Kevin Wilson at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.  Revenge is a dish best served...crimson.  Hoosier go to 3-0 here, they win and cover despite losing starting QB Tre Robinson (Indianapolis Lawrence Central) in the UMass blowout last weekend.  JUCO transfer Cam Coffman fills in more than admirably.

Indiana win probability: 64%
Indiana cover probability: 60%
IFP says  Indiana 38 Ball State 27  (go ahead and bet the "Over" as well...)

Boston College at Northwestern (3.5)

Another "offense likely better but defense probably not" wire job for NU.  The Cardiac Cats win by a whisker...again.

Northwestern win probability:  63%
Northwestern cover probability: 57%%
IFP says:  Northwestern 30 Boston College 24